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Analysis of Land Use Change: Theoretical and Modeling Approaches
Helen Briassoulis, Ph.D.
Department of Geography
University of the Aegean
Lesvos, Greece
e-mail: e.briassouli@aegean.gr
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Table of Contents

1 Introduction

1.1.Overview of Issues Related to Land Use Change
1.2. The Purpose of the Analysis of Land Use Change
1.3. Defining Land, Land Use and Land Use Change
1.3.1. Land
1.3.2. Land Use and Land Cover
1.3.3. Land Use Change and Land Cover Change
1.4. Land Use Change: Bio-Physical and Socio-Economic Drivers
1.5. Land Use Change: Environmental and Socio-Economic Impacts
1.6. Land Use Classification Systems

2 Brief Historical Overview of Studies of Land Use Change

2.1. Introduction
2.2. The Early Period -- von Thunen and George Perkins Marsh
2.3. The First Half of the 20th Century
2.4. The Other (Last) Half of the 20th Century
2.5. The New Millennium

3 Theories of Land Use Change

3.1. Introduction
3.2. Theories of Land Use Change – Classification
3.3. The Urban and Regional Economics Theorization Tradition
3.3.1. Micro-Economic Theoretical Approaches
3.3.2. Macro-Economic Theoretical Approaches
3.3.3. Other Theoretical Approaches in Regional Science
3.4. The Sociological (and Political Economy) Theorization Tradition
3.4.1. Functionalist – Behavioral Theories
3.4.2. Structuralist - Institutionalist Theories
3.4.3. Core-Periphery Theories
3.4.4. Unequal Exchange and Dependency Theories
3.4.5. Uneven Development -- Capital Logic Theories
3.5. The Nature-Society Theorization Tradition
3.5.1. Humanities-Based Theories
3.5.2. Natural Science-Based Theories
3.5.3. Social Sciences-Based Theories
3.6. A Summary Evaluation of Theories of Land Use Change

4 Models of Land Use Change

4.1. Introduction
4.2. Models of Land Use Change – Classification
4.3. Statistical and Econometric Models
4.3.1. Statistical Models
4.3.2. Econometric Models (EMPIRIC)
4.4. Spatial interaction Models
4.5. Optimization Models
4.5.1. Linear Programming Models
4.5.2. Dynamic Programming Models
4.5.3. Goal Programming, Hierarchical Programming, Linear and Quadratic Assignment Problem, Nonlinear Programming Models
4.5.4. Utility Maximization Models
4.5.5. Multi-Objective/Multi-Criteria Decision Making Models
4.6. Integrated models
4.6.1. Econometric-Type Integrated Models
4.6.2. Gravity/Spatial Interaction-Type Integrated Models
4.6.3. Simulation Integrated Models
4.6.4. Input-Output-Based Integrated Models
4.7. Other Modeling Approaches
4.7.1. Natural-Sciences-Oriented Modeling Approaches
4.7.2. Markov Modeling of Land Use Change
4.7.3. GIS-Based Modeling of Land Use Change
4.8. A Summary Evaluation of Models of Land Use Change

5 Summary and Future Research Directions

5.1. Theories and Models of Land Use Change: The Main Issues
5.2. Future Research Directions: Theoretical, Methodological and Practical Needs


Appendix 1.A.
Appendix 1.B. (websites)
Appendix 5.A.

List of Figures and Tables



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