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Analysis of Land Use Change: Theoretical and Modeling Approaches
Helen Briassoulis, Ph.D.
LIST OF FIGURES
1.1a Land use and Population Change in North America 1700-1980
1.1b Land use and Population Change in Latin America 1700-1980
1.1c Land use and Population Change in USSR and Oceania 1700-1980
1.1d Land use and Population Change in Europe 1700-1980
1.1e Land use and Population Change in Africa and Middle East 1700-1980
1.1f Land use and Population Change in Asia 1700-1980
1.1g Global Land use and Population Change 1700-1980
1.3a. The relationship between bio-physical and socio-economic drivers and other components of the land use-cover system (adapted from Turner et al. 1995)
1.3b. The human causes of global environmental change (adapted from Moser 1996)
1.3c. Linkages among human causes and land use and land cover (adapted from Moser 1996)
3.2a. von Thunen’s land rent curves and the resulting land use pattern (same as FIGURE 6.4 in Hoover and Giarratani 1999)
3.2b. Alonso’s bid rent of a household and the bid rent curve R of the actual land rents in the city pattern (same as FIGURE 6.8 in Hoover And Giarratani 1999)
3.2c. The concentric zone theory of urban spatial structure (Source: Chapin and Kaiser 1979)
3.2d. The sector concept of urban spatial structure (Source: Chapin and Kaiser 1979)
3.2e. The multiple nuclei concept of urban spatial structure (Source: Chapin and Kaiser 1979)
4.2a. The Effects Table
4.2b. The Penn-Jersey model (reprinted from Wilson 1974)
4.2c. Structure of the Lowry model (adapted from Wilson 1974)
4.2d. The NBER submodels (adapted from Chapin and Kaiser 1979)
4.2e. The Dortmund model (reprinted from Wegener 1982)
4.2f. A schematic representation of the Integrated Transportation/Land Use Package (ITLUP)
4.2g. A schematic representation of TRANUS
4.2h. The CLUE modeling framework (adapted from de Koning et al. 1998)
4.2i. The CLUE-CR model (adapted from Veldkamp and Fresco 1996b)
4.2j. The macro-model in the context of a cellular automata modeling approach (adapted from Engelen et al. 1995)
4.2k. The IIASA/LUC modeling framework (adapted from Fischer et al. 1996a)
4.2l. The IMPEL modeling framework (adapted from Rounsevell 1999)
4.2m. The IFS model (adapted from Liverman 1989)
4.2n. IMAGE 2.0 – Framework of Models and Linkages (adapted from Alcamo et al. 1994a)
4.2o. Isard’s ecologic-economic model (adapted from Isard 1972)
4.2p. A prototype modular economic-environmental model (source: author)
4.2q. The PDE modeling philosophy (adapted from Lutz 1994a)
4.2r. The PDE modeling framework (adapted from Lutz 1994b)

LIST OF TABLES
Table 1.1a Global and regional land use and population change (in million ha and million people; (+) or (-) sign indicates direction of change
Table 1.1b 1700-1980 Land Use Change as Percent of Total 1980 Land Area of Each Regional Grouping
Table 1.1c Global land areas converted to regular cropping, 1860, 1920, 1978 (´ 10,000km2)
Table 1.1d Global land areas of different ecosystems converted to regular cropping, 1860-1978 (´ 10,000km2)
Table 1.1e Estimated Area Cleared 1650-1978 (´ 000km2)
Table 1.2 Distinction between Land Use and Land Cover
Table 3.1a A classification of extant theories of land use change
Table 3.1b Macroeconomic Theoretical Approaches to Land Use Change
Table 3.1c Sociological Theoretical Approaches to Land Use Change
Table 3.1d Nature-Society Theories of Land Use Change
Table 4.1a A Classification of Models of Land Use Change
Table 4.1b Statistical/Econometric, Spatial Interaction and Optimization Models of Land Use Change
Table 4.1c Integrated Models of Land Use Change
Table 4.1d Other Modeling Approaches to the Analysis of Land Use Change

LIST OF APPENDICES
Appendix 1.A
A-FA. Alternative Land Use-Cover Classification Systems
B. Geological Survey Land Use and Land Cover…
C. 1) Classification for Land use Statistics…
2) (continued)
D. Illustrative Major Urban Land Use Categories
E. Illustrative Summary of Land Uses for An Urban Area of 100,000
F. Illustrative Summary for Land Use in Selected Activities and Subcategories for a Metropolitan Region
Appendix 1.B Websites of Organizations Providing Information on Land Use Change and Land Use Classification Systems
Appendix 5.A Definitions of Key Terms Related to the Concept of Scale